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The decision desk

A deeper toolkit that ranks opportunities and builds trade plans. If it feels like a lot, start with the Basic dashboard instead.

Analyze

Decision Support

Ranked0
Trade Tickets0
Events17

Institutional analytics

Research analytics, non-executing by design

Decision-support analytics are educational research tools; live values render only from verified, versioned datasets.

Portfolio risk

Exposure, leverage, concentration, and drawdown analytics are built on versioned market data. Values appear only when they trace to a trusted dataset — nothing is estimated for display.

Factors and scenarios

Factor exposures and stress scenarios are computed only where a measured data source exists, and every shock definition is stated explicitly.

Execution quality

Spread, slippage, and other cost analytics stay educational until measured cost evidence passes deterministic checks.

Every displayed value must trace to a versioned market-data source. Sizing and setup content stays educational and non-executing; this platform never places trades.

Market backdrop

Markets are calm right now — credit, volatility, and stress gauges all sit in their normal-to-low range.

This describes the overall market mood, not a buy or sell call.

Macro Regime

calm

Markets are calm right now — credit, volatility, and stress gauges all sit in their normal-to-low range.

Yield curveflat
flat, stable · spread 0.36%10y minus 2y Treasury; inversion is a classic recession flagas of 20260724
Credit spreadscalm
16.7th percentile · 2.77high-yield spread percentile; wide = stressas of 20260723
Equity volatilitynormal
56.2th percentile · 18.7VIX percentile vs its own historyas of 20260723
Financial stressnormal
26.6th percentile · -2.607OFR Financial Stress Index percentileas of 20260722

Composite rule: credit=calm, vix=normal, fsi=normal · 4/4 components available.

curve: US Treasury daily yield curve (2Y, 10Y nominal)

credit: ICE BofA US High Yield OAS (BAMLH0A0HYM2, FRED gateway)

vix: CBOE VIX close (VIXCLS, FRED gateway)

fsi: OFR Financial Stress Index

fundingStress: OFR Financial Stress Index — Funding subindex (funding-liquidity stress; successor to the TED spread, which ended 2022-01-21 with LIBOR)

Market-state context, not a trade signal or price prediction.

Factor Scoreboard · pre-registered universes (prereg-2026-07-18)

Weekly equity factor ranks & sector rotation

As of 2026-07-26

Relative strength rotated from SOXX (-16.2%) to XLE (+9.5%) vs SPY over 4 weeks — a price-ratio shift, not measured fund flows.

Relative strength rotated from XLK (-5.3%) to XLF (+4.7%) vs SPY over 4 weeks — a price-ratio shift, not measured fund flows.

Relative strength rotated from QQQ (-5.1%) to XLV (+3.8%) vs SPY over 4 weeks — a price-ratio shift, not measured fund flows.

Reporting within 14 days: V (2026-07-28, after hours) · KO (2026-07-28, pre market) · MSFT (2026-07-29, after hours) · META (2026-07-29, after hours) · PG (2026-07-29, pre market) · QCOM (2026-07-29, after hours) · AAPL (2026-07-30, after hours) · AMZN (2026-07-30, after hours) · MA (2026-07-30, pre market) · XOM (2026-07-31, pre market) · CVX (2026-07-31, pre market) · ABBV (2026-07-31, pre market). Confirmed dates only — they can move; ranks near a report date carry event risk.

QuintileSymbols (composite rank)12-1 momentumVol percentile
Top (Q1)AAPL #9, JPM #7, UNH #3, LLY #8, ABBV #10, BAC #4, AMD #1, CSCO #6, INTC #2, UNP #537.1% best83.8
Bottom (Q5)MSFT #46, META #49, TSLA #50, COST #41, CRM #43, ORCL #48, NFLX #47, ADBE #44, ACN #42, IBM #450.9% worst97.6

Measurement: collecting — 13 of 100 top-quintile records evaluated. 5d spread 4.968% · 20d spread n/a.

Factor ranks are descriptive cross-sectional statistics, not recommendations. Published factor premia decay after publication (McLean & Pontiff); whether these ranks order forward returns here is an open, pre-registered measurement — not a promise.

Phase 1Live

Decision Scanner

  • Opportunity ranking
  • asset comparison matrix
  • trade ticket preview
  • strategy performance table
Phase 2Live

News And Timing Risk

  • economic calendar
  • session overlap
  • event warnings
  • avoid-trade windows
Phase 3Live

Portfolio Exposure

  • currency exposure map
  • correlation clusters
  • duplicate-bet warnings
  • watchlist alerts
Phase 4Blocked

Execution Data Requirements

  • executable bid/ask
  • spread percentile
  • broker margin
  • account-risk sizing

Phase 1 · Live

Decision Scanner

These tools are active now

This phase answers the first trading question: which market is worth attention right now, which strategy fits it, and whether it deserves a trade ticket.

Scanner

Market Opportunity Scanner

0 ranked
MarketTrendVolatilityStrategiesReadinessStatus

No market clears the direction, evidence, and risk gates right now. Qualified markets appear here ranked by readiness — run a fresh scan from the dashboard or check back after the next agent pass.

Tickets

Research Hypotheses: Observation, Invalidation, Scenarios

No research hypotheses yet. When a ranked market reaches “Trade setup” with a full observation zone, invalidation level, and scenario levels, its hypothesis card appears here.

Strategies

Performance Comparison

Trend-Momentum ContinuationRetired directional baseline
Evidence cohort: Trend-Momentum Continuation; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Negative out of sampleNot eligible

Directional strength remains descriptive only.

Squeeze Breakout ConfirmationResearch hypothesis
Evidence cohort: Squeeze Breakout Confirmation; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Not established after costsUnknown

Needs holdout and forward-paper qualification.

FX Mean ReversionExploratory daily FX research
Evidence cohort: FX Mean Reversion; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Positive gross lead onlyCarry and costs missing

Not actionable until net holdout and paper gates pass.

Pattern Breakout With Trend FilterResearch hypothesis
Evidence cohort: Pattern Breakout With Trend Filter; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Not established after costsUnknown

Needs holdout and forward-paper qualification.

Phase 2 · Live

News And Timing Risk

Trade timing checks

This phase checks whether a good setup should be traded now or delayed because of event risk, session timing, or likely spread expansion.

Calendar

Event Risk Windows

07-26-2026 11:50pm · in ~84m · lowJPY · SPPI y/y
USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPJPYReduce size or require stronger confirmation near the release.
07-28-2026 3:05am · highAUD · RBA Gov Bullock Speaks
AUDUSDWiden invalidation and avoid fresh entries in the window — correlations can invert around the release.
07-28-2026 5:00am · lowJPY · BOJ Core CPI y/y
USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPJPYReduce size or require stronger confirmation near the release.
07-28-2026 7:00am · lowEUR · Spanish Unemployment Rate
EURUSD, EURGBP, EURJPYReduce size or require stronger confirmation near the release.
07-28-2026 12:15pm · lowUSD · ADP Weekly Employment Change
DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSDReduce size or require stronger confirmation near the release.
07-29-2026 1:30am · highAUD · CPI m/m
AUDUSDWiden invalidation and avoid fresh entries in the window — correlations can invert around the release.
07-29-2026 1:30am · highAUD · CPI y/y
AUDUSDWiden invalidation and avoid fresh entries in the window — correlations can invert around the release.
07-29-2026 1:30am · highAUD · Trimmed Mean CPI m/m
AUDUSDWiden invalidation and avoid fresh entries in the window — correlations can invert around the release.
Sessions

Market Hours Context

Tokyo7 PM-4 AM ETJPY, AUD, NZDAsia liquidity
London3 AM-12 PM ETEUR, GBP, USDHighest FX participation
New York8 AM-5 PM ETUSD, CAD, indicesMacro and stock flow
London/New York overlap8 AM-12 PM ETMajorsBest liquidity, more event risk

Phase 3 · Live

Portfolio Exposure

Duplicate-risk checks

This phase checks whether multiple setups are really the same trade expressed through different markets, so sizing can be reduced before risk stacks up.

Exposure

Concentration Watch

USD exposure0 setupsNo major concentration in the top list.
Crypto beta0 setupsCrypto exposure is contained.
Macro hedge0 marketsCompare gold, oil, and index signals before adding directional FX risk.
Conflict load0 warningsTop ideas have clean cross-market agreement.
Clusters

Correlation Groups

USD-linked FX0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Crypto beta0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Equity beta0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Macro hedges0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Phase 4 · Blocked

Execution Readiness

Waiting on broker data

This phase turns a candidate into a safer actionable setup by checking cost, liquidity, sizing, and whether the trade should be reduced or delayed.

Execution

Readiness Checklist

0 tickets checked

Nothing to check yet — execution readiness runs on active research hypotheses, and there are none right now. This phase also stays blocked until executable bid/ask, spread percentile, and margin data are connected.